MX23RW : Monday, March 10 21:46:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
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VfL Bochum
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
Union Berlin logo

Werder Bremen
4 - 1
Union Berlin

Grull (13', 17'), Weiser (45'), Stage (87')
Friedl (19'), Burke (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Schafer (23')
Doekhi (5'), Khedira (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 0-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, December 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-1 Union Berlin

Despite losing four of their last five Bundesliga away fixtures, only Bayern (3-0) beat Union by more than a goal. While Bremen are anticipated to secure three points, the outcome might be closer than the form table suggests. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawUnion Berlin
40.99% (-0.111 -0.11) 26.53% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 32.47% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 51.79% (0.193 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.02% (0.225 0.23)52.98% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.42% (0.191 0.19)74.58% (-0.191 -0.19)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (0.043000000000006 0.04)25.47% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.69% (0.059000000000005 0.06)60.3% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.49% (0.21799999999999 0.22)30.51% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.27% (0.259 0.26)66.73% (-0.259 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 40.98%
    Union Berlin 32.48%
    Draw 26.53%
Werder BremenDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.27% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 40.98%
1-1 @ 12.61% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 9.22% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.48%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin

Werder Bremen
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Union Berlin
9.1%
33
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
2-1
Werder Bremen
Vertessen (50'), Aaronson (52')
Vogt (26'), Gosens (27'), Tousart (30')
Weiser (63')
Lynen (32'), Weiser (38'), Ducksch (41'), Stage (72'), Keita (90')
Oct 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Werder Bremen
2-0
Union Berlin
Knoche (38' og.), Ducksch (75')
Stage (73')

Gosens (56'), Leite (80'), Hollerbach (85'), Laidouni (90+6')
Khedira (60')
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Union Berlin
1-0
Werder Bremen
Khedira (81')
Laidouni (45+4')

Philipp (50'), Pavlenka (68'), Bittencourt (71')
Jan 25, 2023 7.30pm
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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