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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Union Berlin |
40.99% (![]() | 26.53% (![]() | 32.47% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.79% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.02% (![]() | 52.98% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.42% (![]() | 74.58% (![]() |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.53% (![]() | 25.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.69% (![]() | 60.3% (![]() |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.49% (![]() | 30.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.27% (![]() | 66.73% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 10.62% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.63% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.27% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.98% | 1-1 @ 12.61% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.77% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 9.22% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.49% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.48% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.03% ( ![]() Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |