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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | VfL Bochum |
43.8% ( 0.4) | 26.08% ( -0.04) | 30.11% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 52.24% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.04% ( -0.01) | 51.96% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.3% ( -0) | 73.7% ( 0) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.4% ( 0.19) | 23.59% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.33% ( 0.28) | 57.67% ( -0.28) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.37% ( -0.27) | 31.63% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.96% ( -0.31) | 68.04% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | VfL Bochum |
1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.84% Total : 43.8% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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