Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 22

Feb 24, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz
4 - 0
Borussia M'bach

Jae-sung (25'), Ingvartsen (49'), Ajorque (72'), Weiper (90+3')
Caci (36'), Hanche-Olsen (50')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Stindl (66'), Plea (74'), Kone (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-3 Mainz
Sunday, February 19 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-2 Bayern
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

With both teams winning their last matches to move back into the top half of the table, this should be a closely-contested affair, especially with both teams sitting level on points. Gladbach have won just once on the road all season, whereas Mainz have performed better away from home, so we can envisage a share of the spoils on Friday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
45.62% ( 0.15)	23.93% ( -0.02)	30.45% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 59.6% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.57% (

0.04)

42.43% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.17% (

0.04)

64.83% (

-0.03)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.19% (

0.08)

18.81% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.76% (

0.13)

50.24% (

-0.13)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.41% (

-0.06)

26.59% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.18% (

-0.08)

61.82% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 45.62%

Borussia Monchengladbach 30.45%

Draw 23.93%

Mainz 05	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 45.62%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.93%	1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 30.45%