Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 21

Feb 12, 2021 at 7.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Augsburg

Olmo (38' pen.), Nkunku (43')
Klostermann (41'), Orban (62'), Adams (72')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Caligiuri (77' pen.)
Oxford (3'), Gouweleeuw (22'), Suchy (28'), Gikiewicz (34'), Benes (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 72.23%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 10.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Augsburg
72.23%	16.98%	10.79%

Both teams to score 49.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.52%

39.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.18%

61.82%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.41%

9.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.92%

32.07%

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.41%

45.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.6%

81.4%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 72.22%

Augsburg 10.79%

Draw 16.98%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Augsburg
2-0 @ 12.01% 1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 9.39% 3-1 @ 7.38% 4-0 @ 5.51% 4-1 @ 4.32% 3-2 @ 2.9% 5-0 @ 2.58% 5-1 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.7% 6-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.71% Total : 72.22%	1-1 @ 8.05% 0-0 @ 4.37% 2-2 @ 3.71% Other @ 0.85% Total : 16.98%	0-1 @ 3.43% 1-2 @ 3.16% 0-2 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.87% Total : 10.79%