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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-0 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
13.99% | 18.97% | 67.04% |
Both teams to score 52.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.53% | 40.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.14% | 62.86% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.96% | 41.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.41% | 77.59% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.84% | 11.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.37% | 35.63% |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
1-0 @ 4.08% 2-1 @ 3.98% 2-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.3% 3-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.63% Total : 13.99% | 1-1 @ 8.95% 0-0 @ 4.58% 2-2 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.97% | 0-2 @ 11.01% 0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-3 @ 8.05% 1-3 @ 7.17% 0-4 @ 4.41% 1-4 @ 3.93% 2-3 @ 3.19% 0-5 @ 1.94% 2-4 @ 1.75% 1-5 @ 1.72% Other @ 4.01% Total : 67.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Heidenheim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
9 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4 |
14 | St Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 3 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 1 |
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