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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Mar 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Borussia-Park
Freiburg logo

Borussia M'bach
0 - 0
Freiburg


Stindl (15'), Elvedi (40'), Farke (62+62'), Thuram (84'), Bensebaini (87')
Bensebaini (87')
FT

Lienhart (67'), Hofler (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 4-0 Borussia M'bach
Friday, February 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, February 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-1 Freiburg

Gladbach have proven themselves to be a much more effective team on their home patch under Farke's stewardship, and we can envisage a share of the spoils at Borussia-Park on Saturday. Freiburg are a dangerous team in transition and will be happy for the hosts to have the majority of the ball, with both managers unlikely to be too disappointed if their side can avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.67%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawFreiburg
44.07% (-2.319 -2.32) 22.91% (0.124 0.12) 33.02% (2.198 2.2)
Both teams to score 64.62% (0.637 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.63% (0.393 0.39)36.36% (-0.393 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.5% (0.429 0.43)58.49% (-0.428 -0.43)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.97% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)17.02% (0.732 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.83% (-1.308 -1.31)47.16% (1.31 1.31)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (1.443 1.44)22.12% (-1.441 -1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.5% (2.131 2.13)55.5% (-2.128 -2.13)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 44.07%
    Freiburg 33.02%
    Draw 22.9%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-0 @ 6.67% (-0.299 -0.3)
2-0 @ 5.9% (-0.417 -0.42)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.269 -0.27)
3-2 @ 3.97% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.339 -0.34)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.179 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.192 -0.19)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 44.07%
1-1 @ 10.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.72% (0.115 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.77% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.99% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.31 0.31)
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.132 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.275 0.28)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.309 0.31)
2-3 @ 3.38% (0.197 0.2)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.223 0.22)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.172 0.17)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.125 0.13)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 33.02%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Freiburg

Borussia Monchengladbach
41.7%
Draw
25.0%
Freiburg
33.3%
36
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 4.30pm
Apr 23, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
3-3
Borussia M'bach
Grifo (49' pen.), Gunter (61'), Lienhart (80')
Eggestein (73')
Bensebaini (3' pen.), Embolo (13'), Stindl (90+3')
Plea (59'), Kone (65'), Stindl (79'), Bensebaini (88')
Dec 5, 2021 4.30pm
Borussia M'bach
0-6
Freiburg

Bensebaini (15'), Kone (24')
Eggestein (2'), Schade (5'), Lienhart (12'), Hofler (19'), Holer (25'), Schlotterbeck (37')
Demirovic (44')
Apr 3, 2021 7.30pm
Borussia M'bach
2-1
Freiburg
Thuram (53', 60')
Kramer (80')
Sallai (10')
Demirovic (31'), Holer (64'), Gunter (82')
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-2
Borussia M'bach
Lienhart (32'), Grifo (49' pen.)
Schlotterbeck (25'), Streich (90+3')
Embolo (23'), Plea (50')
Neuhaus (45+1'), Plea (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern20163162194351
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4RB Leipzig209653429533
5Stuttgart209563730732
6Mainz 05Mainz209473324931
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach209383230230
8Werder Bremen208663436-230
9Freiburg209382736-930
10Borussia DortmundDortmund208573634229
11Wolfsburg198474234828
12Augsburg207582435-1126
13St Pauli2063111822-421
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin205691627-1121
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim2042142542-1714
17Holstein Kiel2033143152-2112
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2024141744-2710


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