Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 25

Mar 8, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Guirassy (19'), Fuhrich (65')
Vagnomann (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Khedira (39'), Tousart (77')
Schafer (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stuttgart 2-0 Union Berlin

Union Berlin have only lost one of their last five Bundesliga matches, but they will be coming up against a Stuttgart side in excellent form. The hosts are winning a lot of games at the moment, and we are expecting them to put another three points on the board on Friday night in routine fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 72.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 10.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 3-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stuttgart in this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Union Berlin
72.75% ( 0.02)	16.66%	10.58% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 49.65% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.5% (

-0.07)

38.49% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.21% (

-0.07)

60.78% (

0.07)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.78% (

-0.01)

9.21% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.81% (

-0.03)

31.18% (

0.03)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.69% (

-0.09)

45.3% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.82% (

-0.07)

81.17% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 72.75%

Union Berlin 10.58%

Draw 16.66%

Stuttgart	Draw	Union Berlin
2-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.68% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 3.98% Total : 72.75%	1-1 @ 7.88% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 16.66%	0-1 @ 3.31% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 10.58%