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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 72.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 10.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 3-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stuttgart in this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Union Berlin |
72.75% ( 0.02) | 16.66% | 10.58% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.65% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.5% ( -0.07) | 38.49% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.21% ( -0.07) | 60.78% ( 0.07) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.78% ( -0.01) | 9.21% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.81% ( -0.03) | 31.18% ( 0.03) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.69% ( -0.09) | 45.3% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.82% ( -0.07) | 81.17% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.68% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 3.98% Total : 72.75% | 1-1 @ 7.88% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 16.66% | 0-1 @ 3.31% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 10.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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