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Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Union Berlin logo

Stuttgart
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Guirassy (19'), Fuhrich (65')
Vagnomann (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Khedira (39'), Tousart (77')
Schafer (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 2-0 Union Berlin

 Union Berlin have only lost one of their last five Bundesliga matches, but they will be coming up against a Stuttgart side in excellent form. The hosts are winning a lot of games at the moment, and we are expecting them to put another three points on the board on Friday night in routine fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 72.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 10.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 3-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stuttgart in this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawUnion Berlin
72.75% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 16.66%10.58% (-0.025 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.65% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.5% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)38.49% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.21% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)60.78% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.78% (-0.012 -0.01)9.21% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.81% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)31.18% (0.029 0.03)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.69% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)45.3% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.82% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)81.17% (0.071000000000012 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 72.75%
    Union Berlin 10.58%
    Draw 16.66%
StuttgartDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 11.86% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.43% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-1 @ 7.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.45% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 72.75%
1-1 @ 7.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 16.66%
0-1 @ 3.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 10.58%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Union Berlin

Stuttgart
79.7%
Draw
12.7%
Union Berlin
7.6%
118
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Stuttgart
1-0
Union Berlin
Undav (45')
Stergiou (88'), Ito (90+1')

Tousart (85'), Fischer (86'), Gosens (90+1')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Union Berlin
0-3
Stuttgart

Haberer (34'), Behrens (49')
Guirassy (16'), Wamangituka (81'), Undav (88')
Rouault (34'), Hoeness (35')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
3-0
Stuttgart
Becker (51'), Behrens (65'), Haraguchi (68' og.)
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 9
Stuttgart
0-1
Union Berlin
Jaeckel (76')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
1-1
Stuttgart
Awoniyi (41' pen.)
Giesselmann (32'), Promel (90+1'), Schafer (90+4')
Kalajdzic (90')
Mavropanos (40'), Ito (79')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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