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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
38.6% ( -0.78) | 24.14% ( -0.19) | 37.26% ( 0.97) |
Both teams to score 60.93% ( 0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.43% ( 1.01) | 41.57% ( -1.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.03% ( 1.02) | 63.97% ( -1.02) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.39% ( 0.06) | 21.61% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.29% ( 0.1) | 54.71% ( -0.1) |
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.72% ( 0.97) | 22.28% ( -0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.27% ( 1.43) | 55.73% ( -1.43) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.6% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.45% Total : 37.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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