Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
35.95% ( 0.01) | 24.88% ( 0) | 39.17% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.12% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.84% ( -0) | 45.17% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.49% ( -0.01) | 67.51% ( 0.01) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.39% ( 0) | 24.61% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.88% | 59.12% ( 0) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.09% ( -0) | 22.91% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.33% ( -0.01) | 56.67% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.81% 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 35.95% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.12% 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |