Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
35.95% ( 0.01) | 24.88% ( 0) | 39.17% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.12% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.84% ( -0) | 45.17% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.49% ( -0.01) | 67.51% ( 0.01) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.39% ( 0) | 24.61% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.88% | 59.12% ( 0) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.09% ( -0) | 22.91% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.33% ( -0.01) | 56.67% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.81% 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 35.95% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.12% 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 26 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Freiburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Stuttgart | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 12 |
13 | Augsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Heidenheim | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 2 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |