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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
35.95% (![]() | 24.88% (![]() | 39.17% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.12% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.84% (![]() | 45.17% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.49% (![]() | 67.51% (![]() |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.39% (![]() | 24.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.88% | 59.12% (![]() |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.09% (![]() | 22.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.33% (![]() | 56.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 8.17% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.91% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.81% 3-0 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 1.89% Total : 35.95% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-1 @ 8.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.12% 1-3 @ 4.22% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |