Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Dortmund3 - 0Freiburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Heidenheim 0-0 Dortmund
Friday, February 2 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, February 2 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Freiburg
In what should be a competitive encounter, Dortmund may be made to work for their three points on home soil, especially in the midst of an injury and illness crisis. Freiburg have not yet reached the levels they had shown in 2023 though, and are currently stuck in a poor run of form which is likely to continue here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.12%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 21.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 1-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Freiburg |
58.12% ( 1.01) | 20.64% ( -0.07) | 21.24% ( -0.94) |
| Both teams to score 61.83% ( -1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
