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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Union Berlin |
52.71% ( 0.03) | 25.17% ( -0.01) | 22.11% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.16% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.04% ( -0.01) | 53.95% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.6% ( -0.01) | 75.4% ( 0) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.53% ( 0.01) | 20.46% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.06% ( 0.02) | 52.93% ( -0.02) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.55% ( -0.03) | 39.44% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.86% ( -0.03) | 76.13% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.57% Total : 52.7% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.4% Total : 22.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |