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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
Union Berlin logo

Borussia M'bach
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Cvancara (90+6')
Stoger (67'), Plea (69'), Plea (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Querfeld (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-0 Union Berlin

Seoane will hope that Borussia Monchengladbach can make good on their underlying attacking metrics and pick up their second win of the season. Given Union Berlin's poor away record, the hosts could take advantage, but it would be surprising if they managed to score many considering they failed to create many chances last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Borussia Monchengladbach in this match.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawUnion Berlin
40.25% (0.035999999999994 0.04) 26.68% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 33.07% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.51% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.58% (0.082999999999998 0.08)53.42% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.05% (0.068999999999999 0.07)74.95% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94% (0.060999999999993 0.06)26.06% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89% (0.077999999999996 0.08)61.1% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (0.030000000000001 0.03)30.33% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.48% (0.036999999999999 0.04)66.52% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 40.25%
    Union Berlin 33.07%
    Draw 26.68%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.25%
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 33.07%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Union Berlin

Borussia Monchengladbach
37.7%
Draw
30.2%
Union Berlin
32.1%
53
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
Borussia M'bach
0-0
Union Berlin
Lainer (46'), Reitz (89')
Vogt (44'), Khedira (48')
Dec 9, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Union Berlin
3-1
Borussia M'bach
Volland (23' pen.), Hollerbach (50'), Kaufmann (75')
Juranovic (29')
Plea (77')
Scally (3'), Weigl (33'), Plea (47')
Apr 23, 2023 6.30pm
Oct 30, 2022 2.30pm
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Borussia M'bach
1-2
Union Berlin
Kone (40')
Friedrich (28')
Kruse (18' pen., 84')
Promel (3'), Knoche (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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