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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
39.05% ( -0.38) | 24.12% ( -0.06) | 36.83% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 61% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.54% ( 0.32) | 41.46% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.14% ( 0.32) | 63.86% ( -0.33) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.66% ( -0.04) | 21.34% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.7% ( -0.07) | 54.3% ( 0.06) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.55% ( 0.37) | 22.45% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.01% ( 0.55) | 55.99% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 39.05% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 7 | 22 | 20 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 20 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 15 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 15 |
5 | Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 14 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
8 | Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
10 | Heidenheim | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 10 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Augsburg | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 8 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 8 |
16 | St Pauli | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 2 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 1 |
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