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Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
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Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
Augsburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Union Berlin logo

Augsburg
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Beljo (53')
Engels (11'), Gouweleeuw (19')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Laidouni (64'), Jaeckel (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 0-1 Union Berlin

With Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund still in sight, we expect Union Berlin to notch a narrow victory over struggling Augsburg, who look set to slide deeper into relegation danger. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawUnion Berlin
31.37% (0.99 0.99) 27.91% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 40.72% (-0.935 -0.94)
Both teams to score 47.29% (0.513 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.48% (0.471 0.47)58.53% (-0.467 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.9% (0.367 0.37)79.1% (-0.363 -0.36)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.87% (0.98100000000001 0.98)34.13% (-0.977 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.18% (1.039 1.04)70.82% (-1.036 -1.04)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.8% (-0.292 -0.29)28.2% (0.295 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.1% (-0.375 -0.38)63.9% (0.377 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 31.37%
    Union Berlin 40.71%
    Draw 27.9%
AugsburgDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 5.56% (0.194 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.52% (0.132 0.13)
3-0 @ 1.99% (0.12 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 31.37%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.63% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 12.18% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.71% (-0.269 -0.27)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 40.71%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Union Berlin

Augsburg
22.7%
Draw
2.3%
Union Berlin
75.0%
44
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 14
Union Berlin
2-2
Augsburg
Becker (7'), Behrens (22')
Khedira (12')
Niederlechner (9', 39')
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 21
Augsburg
2-0
Union Berlin
Gregoritsch (16'), Hahn (59')

Khedira (42'), Voglsammer (60')
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 4
Union Berlin
0-0
Augsburg

Khedira (41')

Oxford (36'), Dorsch (86')
Jan 23, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 18
Augsburg
2-1
Union Berlin
Niederlechner (17', 47')
Strobl (45'), Oxford (49'), Niederlechner (55')
Ingvartsen (25')
Trimmel (67')
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 1
Union Berlin
1-3
Augsburg
Bulter (75')
Trimmel (9'), Griesbeck (62')
Vargas (41'), Gregoritsch (82'), Hahn (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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