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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
36.87% ( -0.43) | 26.28% ( 0.1) | 36.86% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 53.3% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.64% ( -0.41) | 51.36% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.82% ( -0.36) | 73.18% ( 0.36) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.01% ( -0.44) | 26.99% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.66% ( -0.58) | 62.34% ( 0.59) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.01% ( 0.01) | 26.99% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.66% ( 0) | 62.34% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.08% Total : 36.87% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 36.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Heidenheim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
9 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4 |
14 | St Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 3 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 1 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |