MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 08:35:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Heidenheim
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Leverkusen logo

Union Berlin
0 - 0
B. Leverkusen


Leite (64')
FT

Odilon (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Union Berlin 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Union Berlin (11) and Leverkusen (15) have conceded the fewest Bundesliga goals since the turn of the year, but considering this fixture has seen both teams score in five of the last seven meetings, an entertaining contest could be on the cards on Saturday. The Irons Ones boast a strong unbeaten home record this season, but Die Werkself have gone from strength to strength in recent months and we believe that they can follow up their five-goal victory in the reverse fixture with another triumph in the capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBayer Leverkusen
36.87% (-0.434 -0.43) 26.28% (0.096 0.1) 36.86% (0.343 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.3% (-0.319 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.64% (-0.409 -0.41)51.36% (0.415 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.82% (-0.355 -0.36)73.18% (0.361 0.36)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (-0.44 -0.44)26.99% (0.445 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (-0.582 -0.58)62.34% (0.588 0.59)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (0.007000000000005 0.01)26.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)62.34% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 36.87%
    Bayer Leverkusen 36.86%
    Draw 26.27%
Union BerlinDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 9.54% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 36.87%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.54% (0.157 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.18% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.57% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.73% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 36.86%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs B. Leverkusen

Union Berlin
14.3%
Draw
25.4%
Bayer Leverkusen
60.3%
63
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 13
B. Leverkusen
5-0
Union Berlin
Andrich (46'), Diaby (56', 58'), Hlozek (68'), Bakker (76')
Amiri (19')
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 18
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Union Berlin
Schick (38'), Tah (84')
Tah (59')
Promel (45', 50')
Trimmel (31'), Friedrich (85')
Aug 14, 2021 2.30pm
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 33
B. Leverkusen
1-1
Union Berlin
Wirtz (27')
Amiri (6'), Tapsoba (17')
Pohjanpalo (72')
Ingvartsen (40'), Andrich (55')
Jan 15, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 16
Union Berlin
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Teuchert (88')
Friedrich (52')

Tah (43'), Amiri (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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