Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.9%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
