MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 04:42:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 7, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
St Pauli

Wirtz (6'), Tah (21')
Hincapie (28')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Guilavogui (84')
Guilavogui (37'), Saliakas (75'), Dzwigala (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: St Pauli 3-1 Holstein Kiel
Friday, November 29 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 St Pauli

Considering their injuries in the forward line, Leverkusen could struggle to create many chances in the final third, and St Pauli are unlikely to lose by multiple goals. However, the hosts' record at home is phenomenal, and they are in good form, so it would be surprising if they did not emerge victorious on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 10.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a St Pauli win it was 1-2 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSt Pauli
74.3% (1.349 1.35) 15.18% (-0.529 -0.53) 10.53% (-0.814 -0.81)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.979 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.87% (0.211 0.21)31.13% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.46% (0.246 0.25)52.54% (-0.24 -0.24)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.89% (0.321 0.32)7.11% (-0.315 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.09% (0.82899999999999 0.83)25.91% (-0.823 -0.82)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.7% (-1.261 -1.26)40.3% (1.265 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.08% (-1.165 -1.17)76.93% (1.171 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 74.3%
    St Pauli 10.53%
    Draw 15.18%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSt Pauli
2-0 @ 10.01% (0.211 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 8.82% (0.33 0.33)
3-1 @ 8.02% (0.03 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.83% (0.31 0.31)
4-1 @ 5.3% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-0 @ 3.08% (0.211 0.21)
5-1 @ 2.8% (0.1 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.41% (-0.035 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.36% (0.114 0.11)
5-2 @ 1.27% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 1.23% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 74.3%
1-1 @ 6.89% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 2.87% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 15.18%
1-2 @ 3.13% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-1 @ 2.61% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.18% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 10.53%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs St Pauli

Bayer Leverkusen
84.1%
Draw
10.2%
St Pauli
5.7%
88
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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