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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 10.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a St Pauli win it was 1-2 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | St Pauli |
74.3% (![]() | 15.18% (![]() | 10.53% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.46% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.87% (![]() | 31.13% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.46% (![]() | 52.54% (![]() |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.89% (![]() | 7.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.09% (![]() | 25.91% (![]() |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.7% (![]() | 40.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.08% (![]() | 76.93% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | St Pauli |
2-0 @ 10.01% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.1% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.82% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 8.02% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.58% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 3.84% Total : 74.3% | 1-1 @ 6.89% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.14% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.18% | 1-2 @ 3.13% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.41% Total : 10.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 51 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 45 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 38 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 33 |
5 | Stuttgart | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 31 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
9 | Freiburg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 29 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 29 |
12 | Augsburg | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 26 |
13 | St Pauli | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 44 | -27 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |