MX23RW : Friday, February 7 15:21:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 7, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
St Pauli

Wirtz (6'), Tah (21')
Hincapie (28')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Guilavogui (84')
Guilavogui (37'), Saliakas (75'), Dzwigala (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: St Pauli 3-1 Holstein Kiel
Friday, November 29 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 St Pauli

Considering their injuries in the forward line, Leverkusen could struggle to create many chances in the final third, and St Pauli are unlikely to lose by multiple goals. However, the hosts' record at home is phenomenal, and they are in good form, so it would be surprising if they did not emerge victorious on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 10.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a St Pauli win it was 1-2 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSt Pauli
74.3% (1.349 1.35) 15.18% (-0.529 -0.53) 10.53% (-0.814 -0.81)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.979 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.87% (0.211 0.21)31.13% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.46% (0.246 0.25)52.54% (-0.24 -0.24)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.89% (0.321 0.32)7.11% (-0.315 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.09% (0.82899999999999 0.83)25.91% (-0.823 -0.82)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.7% (-1.261 -1.26)40.3% (1.265 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.08% (-1.165 -1.17)76.93% (1.171 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 74.3%
    St Pauli 10.53%
    Draw 15.18%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSt Pauli
2-0 @ 10.01% (0.211 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 8.82% (0.33 0.33)
3-1 @ 8.02% (0.03 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.83% (0.31 0.31)
4-1 @ 5.3% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-0 @ 3.08% (0.211 0.21)
5-1 @ 2.8% (0.1 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.41% (-0.035 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.36% (0.114 0.11)
5-2 @ 1.27% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 1.23% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 74.3%
1-1 @ 6.89% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 2.87% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 15.18%
1-2 @ 3.13% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-1 @ 2.61% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.18% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 10.53%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs St Pauli

Bayer Leverkusen
84.1%
Draw
10.2%
St Pauli
5.7%
88
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern20163162194351
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen20136149272245
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt20115445271838
4RB Leipzig209653429533
5Stuttgart209563730732
6Mainz 05Mainz209473324931
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach209383230230
8Werder Bremen208663436-230
9Freiburg209382736-930
10Wolfsburg208574335829
11Borussia DortmundDortmund208573634229
12Augsburg207582435-1126
13St Pauli2063111822-421
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin205691627-1121
15Hoffenheim2046102640-1418
16Heidenheim2042142542-1714
17Holstein Kiel2033143152-2112
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2024141744-2710


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