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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
Result | ||
St Pauli | Draw | Werder Bremen |
41.83% ( -0.02) | 24.21% ( -0.03) | 33.96% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 60.12% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.61% ( 0.12) | 42.38% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.21% ( 0.12) | 64.78% ( -0.13) |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.56% ( 0.04) | 20.43% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.12% ( 0.07) | 52.87% ( -0.08) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.56% ( 0.08) | 24.43% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.12% ( 0.11) | 58.87% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
St Pauli | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 41.83% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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