Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Jan 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
0 - 0
Union Berlin

Aaronson (50'), Ronnow (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Heidenheim 3-2 Freiburg
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 FC Koln
Wednesday, December 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Union Berlin

Union Berlin may have ended the calendar year as they mean to go on, but Bjelica is yet to find the solution to his side's defensive and offensive woes on the road, which will likely cost them dear on Saturday. Even with international and suspension absentees to contend with, Freiburg are seldom outfought in front of their own fans and should make a winning start to 2024, although it may not be a totally comfortable ride. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Union Berlin
63.45% ( 0.35)	20.49% ( -0.11)	16.06% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 52.35% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.89% (

0.03)

43.11% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.49% (

0.03)

65.51% (

-0.04)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.07% (

0.11)

12.93% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.62% (

0.23)

39.38% (

-0.23)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.12% (

-0.29)

39.88% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.46% (

-0.27)

76.54% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 63.44%

Union Berlin 16.06%

Draw 20.49%

Freiburg	Draw	Union Berlin
2-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.59% 5-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.21% Total : 63.44%	1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.49%	0-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.06%