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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 7, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 2
Werder Bremen

Dabour (32')
Geiger (8'), Vogt (71'), Kabak (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ducksch (18'), Fullkrug (87' pen.)
Gruev (44'), Friedl (45+1'), Bittencourt (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 1-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, October 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 5-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, October 1 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 Werder Bremen

Werder have performed much better than most people would have expected so far this season, with only Bayern Munich scoring more goals than them across the entire division. As such, it could be an entertaining affair, with Hoffenheim potentially ending up with a third successive share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawWerder Bremen
49.85% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 22.56% (0.0020000000000024 0) 27.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.47% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.24% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)37.76% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)60.01% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.57% (0.0040000000000049 0)15.43% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.26% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)26.13% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.8% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)61.2% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 49.85%
    Werder Bremen 27.59%
    Draw 22.56%
HoffenheimDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.85%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 49.85%
1-1 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.41%
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 27.59%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen

Hoffenheim
62.7%
Draw
21.1%
Werder Bremen
16.3%
166
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2021 5pm
Hoffenheim
4-0
Werder Bremen
Bebou (26'), Baumgartner (44'), Dabour (49'), Rutter (90')
Rudy (16'), Kaderabek (51')

Toprak (8'), Friedl (69')
Oct 25, 2020 5pm
Jan 26, 2020 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
0-3
Hoffenheim

Klaassen (34'), Friedl (60')
Klaassen (65' og.), Baumgartner (79'), Adamyan (83')
Posch (22'), Kramaric (38')
Aug 24, 2019 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
3-2
Werder Bremen
Bicakcic (54'), Bebou (59'), Kaderabek (87')
Rudy (46'), Bittencourt (91')
Fullkrug (42'), Osako (81')
Klaassen (35'), Eggestein (69'), Moisander (92'), Harnik (94')
Eggestein (77')
May 11, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
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Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Saturday, July 6
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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