MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 18:37:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Mainz logo

Hoffenheim
4 - 1
Mainz 05

Kramaric (53'), Promel (69'), Dabour (80'), Kaderabek (90+2')
Baumgartner (9'), Akpoguma (10'), Vogt (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kohr (83')
Svensson (43'), Onisiwo (85'), Bell (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 Mainz 05

Hoffenheim have won both home matches with Mainz winning all three away, so something has to give here. With very little to split these two sides, we would not be surprised if both of those winning runs come to an end in the form of a share of the spoils on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawMainz 05
51.33%23.42%25.24% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 57.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.25% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)43.75% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.14% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)17.1% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)47.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)67.33% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 51.33%
    Mainz 05 25.24%
    Draw 23.42%
HoffenheimDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.27%
3-1 @ 5.7%
3-0 @ 4.87%
3-2 @ 3.34%
4-1 @ 2.52%
4-0 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 51.33%
1-1 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-1 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 25.24%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05

Hoffenheim
52.1%
Draw
25.0%
Mainz 05
22.9%
48
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 2.30pm
Sep 11, 2021 2.30pm
Mar 21, 2021 12.30pm
Nov 29, 2020 5pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern54101741313
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt5401116512
3RB Leipzig532082611
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen53111410410
5Borussia DortmundDortmund5311119210
6Heidenheim530210739
7Freiburg53028719
8Stuttgart5221141048
9Union BerlinUnion Berlin52214318
10Werder Bremen5221811-38
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach520368-26
12Mainz 05Mainz5122810-25
13Wolfsburg51131011-14
14St Pauli511346-24
15Augsburg5113714-74
16Hoffenheim5104915-63
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum5014511-61
18Holstein Kiel5014717-101


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