MX23RW : Saturday, February 15 15:08:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Mainz logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Hertha Berlin logo

Mainz 05
1 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Caci (90+4')
Kohr (40'), Mustapha (67'), Onisiwo (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tousart (30')
Plattenhardt (48'), Lukebakio (58'), Dardai (64'), Boetius (65'), Christensen (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Hertha Berlin

Hertha have proven much tougher to beat during the early stages of Schwarz's reign, and we expect that to continue on Friday night. Mainz are likely to be missing a couple of key players at both ends of the pitch, which the visitors can take advantage of by extending their unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawHertha Berlin
47.31% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 25.83% (0.023 0.02) 26.86% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.92% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.31% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)52.68% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67% (-0.064 -0.06)74.32% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (-0.065000000000012 -0.07)22.26% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.29% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)55.71% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51%34.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 47.3%
    Hertha Berlin 26.86%
    Draw 25.82%
Mainz 05DrawHertha Berlin
1-0 @ 11.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 47.3%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 26.86%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Hertha Berlin

Mainz 05
61.5%
Draw
30.2%
Hertha Berlin
8.3%
96
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-2
Mainz 05
Selke (45+5' pen.)
Dardai (56'), Darida (80'), Ascacibar (88')
Widmer (25'), Bell (81')
Svensson (45+4'), Caricol (65')
Dec 14, 2021 7.30pm
Mainz 05
4-0
Hertha Berlin
Jae-sung (19'), Hack (41'), Widmer (49'), Boetius (79')

Serdar (36'), Stark (59')
May 3, 2021 5pm
Mainz 05
1-1
Hertha Berlin
Mwene (40')
Bell (18'), Barreiro (72')
Tousart (36')
Tousart (39'), Cunha (67'), Ascacibar (74')
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
Feb 8, 2020 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-3
Mainz 05
Boyata (84')
Ascacibar (36'), Wolf (70'), Boyata (92')
Wolf (89')
Quaison (17', 82', 94')
Latza (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern21173165194654
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen21137149272246
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt21116446281839
4RB Leipzig2210753629737
5Stuttgart2110563931835
6Freiburg2110382836-833
7Mainz 05Mainz219573324932
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach219483331231
9Wolfsburg218674335830
10Werder Bremen218673439-530
11Borussia DortmundDortmund218583736129
12Augsburg227782435-1128
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin216692027-724
14St Pauli2163121824-621
15Hoffenheim2146112644-1818
16Heidenheim2142152543-1814
17Holstein Kiel2134143354-2113
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2125141946-2711


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!