We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 Union Berlin
With Wolfsburg enduring a tough season so far, and setbacks in the last two matches following a brief glimmer of hope, we can see Union frustrating them and restricting them to very little on Saturday.
The hosts struggle in front of goal and the visitors are a well-organised outfit, so it is difficult to see many goals being scored, and therefore we are going for a low-scoring draw, with Union's relative struggles on the road restricting their chances of coming away with all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolfsburg in this match.