Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 25

Mar 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Wolfsburg
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Awoniyi (24' og.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mohwald (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	-4	42
12	Wolfsburg	34	-11	42
13	VfL Bochum	34	-14	42

Union Berlin

Last Six:

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57
6	Freiburg	34	12	55

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 Union Berlin

With Wolfsburg enduring a tough season so far, and setbacks in the last two matches following a brief glimmer of hope, we can see Union frustrating them and restricting them to very little on Saturday. The hosts struggle in front of goal and the visitors are a well-organised outfit, so it is difficult to see many goals being scored, and therefore we are going for a low-scoring draw, with Union's relative struggles on the road restricting their chances of coming away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolfsburg in this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Union Berlin
40.74%	26.52%	32.74%

Both teams to score 51.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.14%

52.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.53%

74.48%

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46%

25.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.59%

60.41%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.73%

30.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.56%

66.45%

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 40.74%

Union Berlin 32.74%

Draw 26.52%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.4% Total : 40.74%	1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.73% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 9.24% 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 2.05% Other @ 3.2% Total : 32.74%