Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 17, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
2 - 0
Frankfurt

Awoniyi (17'), Promel (21')
Baumgartl (71'), Michel (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lenz (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

Last Six:

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Chemnitzer vs. Union Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57
6	Freiburg	34	12	55

Eintracht Frankfurt

Last Six:

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Rangers (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa League

Next Game: Magdeburg vs. Frankfurt
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	-7	45
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	-4	42
12	Wolfsburg	34	-11	42

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

This game is a difficult one to call due to both sides being so evenly matched, but with Frankfurt enduring a tiring away trip to Spain just three days prior to this fixture, we are going for a narrow home victory. Union have a fantastic record at their An der Alten Forsterei fortress, and with the visitors being a disappointing outfit domestically in recent weeks, the hosts should be able to build on their successive wins to further boost their top-six hopes at the expense of their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
46.13%	25.32%	28.55%

Both teams to score 53.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.39%

49.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.37%

71.63%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.49%

21.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.43%

54.56%

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.44%

31.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.05%

67.95%

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 46.13%

Eintracht Frankfurt 28.55%

Draw 25.32%

Union Berlin	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
1-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-0 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.43% Total : 46.13%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.79% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 7.83% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.55%