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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-3 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
18.75% ( -1.5) | 19.17% ( -0.51) | 62.07% ( 2.01) |
Both teams to score 62.98% ( -0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.07% ( 0.1) | 31.93% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.52% ( 0.12) | 53.48% ( -0.12) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.96% ( -1.34) | 30.04% ( 1.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.83% ( -1.65) | 66.17% ( 1.65) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.03% ( 0.53) | 9.97% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.04% ( 1.2) | 32.96% ( -1.2) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 2% ( -0.2) Other @ 3.68% Total : 18.75% | 1-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 3% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.17% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 7.36% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 6.12% ( 0.37) 2-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 4.24% ( 0.19) 0-4 @ 3.53% ( 0.29) 2-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.96% ( 0.13) 0-5 @ 1.63% ( 0.17) 2-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.64% Total : 62.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 26 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Freiburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Stuttgart | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 12 |
13 | Augsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Heidenheim | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 2 |
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