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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 77.27%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 8.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.28%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Freiburg |
77.27% ( -0.25) | 13.82% ( 0.21) | 8.91% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.16% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.45% ( -1.03) | 29.55% ( 1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.35% ( -1.26) | 50.64% ( 1.26) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.79% ( -0.26) | 6.2% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.55% ( -0.73) | 23.45% ( 0.73) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.74% ( -0.71) | 42.26% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.34% ( -0.61) | 78.66% ( 0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Freiburg |
2-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.32) 4-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.08) Other @ 4.37% Total : 77.27% | 1-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 13.82% | 1-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 8.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 53 | 13 | 40 | 42 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 38 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 33 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
5 | Stuttgart | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 19 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 |
14 | St Pauli | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
15 | Heidenheim | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 14 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 9 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |