We said: Feyenoord 1-1 Lazio
In what is a very tight encounter on paper, fine margins are likely to be decisive in what could well be a straight shoot-out for second place in Group E.
Feyenoord will be heavily weakened if Gimenez misses out with injury though, as their top scorer was the difference between the sides in this clash last season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 63.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.