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Champions League header

Champions League
Lens logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
PSV

Lens
1 - 1
PSV

Wahi (65')
Mendy (52'), Said (90+4'), Thomasson (90+4'), Abdul Samed (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bakayoko (54')
Ramalho (30'), Boscagli (70'), Pepi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Lens and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Le Havre 0-0 Lens
Friday, October 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: PSV 3-1 Sittard
Saturday, October 21 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Lens 1-2 PSV Eindhoven

 Even with a refreshed Wahi back to lead the charge, Lens should not be expected to go toe-to-toe with PSV in an attacking sense, and their showing against Le Havre certainly left something to be desired. Haise may chalk up that off day to the recent international break, but faced with the PSV goalscoring juggernaut, Les Sang et Or - for all of their defensive nous - could be overwhelmed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Lens had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Lens win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawPSV Eindhoven
35.85% (-0.94 -0.94) 24.18% (-0.321 -0.32) 39.97% (1.254 1.25)
Both teams to score 60.65% (1.078 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.12% (1.44 1.44)41.87% (-1.448 -1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.72% (1.436 1.44)64.27% (-1.443 -1.44)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.84% (0.154 0.15)23.15% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97% (0.23 0.23)57.02% (-0.236 -0.24)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (1.239 1.24)21.07% (-1.247 -1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.11% (1.902 1.9)53.89% (-1.909 -1.91)
Score Analysis
    Lens 35.85%
    PSV Eindhoven 39.97%
    Draw 24.17%
LensDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-0 @ 7.14% (-0.439 -0.44)
2-0 @ 5.22% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 35.85%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.127 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.88% (-0.324 -0.32)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.134 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.6% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.49% (0.233 0.23)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.185 0.19)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.145 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.152 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.116 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 39.97%

How you voted: Lens vs PSV

Lens
28.6%
Draw
19.3%
PSV Eindhoven
52.2%
161
rhs 2.0
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