Lens

2 - 1

Toulouse

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 22.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.