Lens2 - 1Toulouse
We said: Lens 2-1 Toulouse
Although Toulouse have lost just one of their six matches this season, they have only managed to pick up a solitary victory, so Lens will view Sunday's clash as the ideal opportunity to record their first win of the campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 22.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Toulouse |
54.74% ( 0.14) | 23.25% ( -0.08) | 22.01% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.87% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.67% ( 0.27) | 46.33% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.39% ( 0.25) | 68.62% ( -0.25) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( 0.15) | 16.81% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.22% ( 0.26) | 46.78% ( -0.26) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.75% ( 0.09) | 35.25% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.99% ( 0.09) | 72.01% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Toulouse |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 54.73% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 22.01% |
