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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
20.15% (![]() | 22.06% (![]() | 57.79% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.03% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.55% (![]() | 43.45% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.16% (![]() | 65.84% (![]() |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.56% (![]() | 35.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.8% (![]() | 72.2% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.23% (![]() | 14.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.98% (![]() | 43.02% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
1-0 @ 5.43% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 1.9% Total : 20.15% | 1-1 @ 10.38% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.23% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.06% | 0-1 @ 10.01% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.93% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 9.57% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.33% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.77% Total : 57.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 52 |
2 | Ajax | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 51 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 43 |
4 | Feyenoord | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 40 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 40 |
6 | FC Twente | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 36 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Groningen | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 27 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 27 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
11 | Heerenveen | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 26 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
14 | Willem II | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
15 | Heracles | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 24 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 43 | -31 | 13 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |