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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
Lyon
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Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
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Ligue 1
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lille

Lens
1 - 1
Lille

Machado (70')
Medina (17'), Haise (56'), Wahi (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Andre (45+3')
Cavaleiro (20'), Alexsandro (68'), Gomes (82'), Yoro (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Arsenal
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: KI 0-0 Lille
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Lens 2-1 Lille

 Lens won 17 of their 19 home games in Ligue 1 last season, with Lille one of only two teams who prevented them from winning, ultimately costing Haise's side the title given that they finished one point behind champions Paris Saint-Germain. As such, we could be in store for a tasty Northern derby on Sunday, with Lens appearing to be in good shape to gain a victory given that they have won three matches in a row in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Lens had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawLille
36.64% (0.355 0.35) 26.25% (0.105 0.11) 37.11% (-0.467 -0.47)
Both teams to score 53.39% (-0.355 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.75% (-0.45500000000001 -0.46)51.25% (0.45 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.92% (-0.401 -0.4)73.08% (0.396 0.4)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)27.07% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)62.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.2% (-0.48 -0.48)26.79% (0.474 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.92% (-0.635 -0.63)62.08% (0.629 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Lens 36.64%
    Lille 37.11%
    Draw 26.25%
LensDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.48% (0.168 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.19% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 36.64%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.55% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.29% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 37.11%

How you voted: Lens vs Lille

Lens
58.5%
Draw
19.5%
Lille
22.0%
41
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 26
Lens
1-1
Lille
Fonte (41' og.)
David (69')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lille
1-0
Lens
David (44' pen.)
> Preview
Apr 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 32
Lille
1-2
Lens
Xeka (45+1')
Xeka (18'), David (29'), Sanches (45+2')
Frankowski (4'), Kalimuendo (37')
Gradit (45+2'), Cahuzac (90')
> Preview
Jan 4, 2022 8pm
Round of 32
Lens
2-2
Lille
 Lens win 4-3 on penalties
Fofana (67', 90+5')
Fofana (90+5')
Onana (28', 33')
Mandava (72'), Grbic (90')
Sep 18, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 6
Lens
1-0
Lille
Frankowski (74')
Leca (57'), Sotoca (88')

Mandava (22'), Celik (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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