Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8

Oct 8, 2023 at 4.05pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
1 - 1
Lille

Machado (70')
Medina (17'), Haise (56'), Wahi (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Andre (45+3')
Cavaleiro (20'), Alexsandro (68'), Gomes (82'), Yoro (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Arsenal
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: KI 0-0 Lille
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens won 17 of their 19 home games in Ligue 1 last season, with Lille one of only two teams who prevented them from winning, ultimately costing Haise's side the title given that they finished one point behind champions Paris Saint-Germain. As such, we could be in store for a tasty Northern derby on Sunday, with Lens appearing to be in good shape to gain a victory given that they have won three matches in a row in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Lens had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Lens	Draw	Lille
36.64% ( 0.35)	26.25% ( 0.11)	37.11% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 53.39% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.75% (

-0.46)

51.25% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.92% (

-0.4)

73.08% (

0.4)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.93% (

-0.01)

27.07% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.56% (

-0.01)

62.44% (

0.01)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.2% (

-0.48)

26.79% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.92% (

-0.63)

62.08% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Lens 36.64%

Lille 37.11%

Draw 26.25%

Lens	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 36.64%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.11%