Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 2, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Donbass Arena

Shakhtar
0 - 4
RB Leipzig

Mykhaylichenko (24'), Taylor (66'), Sikan (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Nkunku (10'), Silva (50'), Szoboszlai (62'), Bondar (68' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Shakhtar 2-2 Oleksandriya
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Shakhtar Donetsk 1-3 RB Leipzig

We expect Shakhtar to push their opponents all of the way in Warsaw on Wednesday, but game state could play a large part in terms of dictating which direction that the result heads in. Providing that Leipzig can avoid falling behind early on, gaps should open up as the Ukrainian Premier League runners-up push for a winner, with the likes of Timo Werner and Christopher Nkunku perfectly placed to punish them in transition should that be the case. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	RB Leipzig
27.37% ( -0.03)	27.06% ( 0)	45.57% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 47.72% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.98% (

-0.03)

57.02% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.09% (

-0.02)

77.91% (

0.03)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.59% (

-0.04)

36.41% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.81% (

-0.04)

73.2% (

0.04)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.04% (

-0)

24.96% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.39% (

-0)

59.61% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 27.37%

RB Leipzig 45.57%

Draw 27.06%

Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	RB Leipzig
1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.64% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 27.37%	1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.06%	0-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.84% 0-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.09% 0-3 @ 4.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.57%