Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 20, 2022 at 7.15pm UK

Ljudski vrt

Maribor
0 - 0
Sheriff Tiraspol

(Sheriff Tiraspol win 1-0 on aggregate)

Mitrovic (51'), Sikosek (87')

Radeljic (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Maribor and Sheriff Tiraspol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maribor

Last Game: Soligorsk 0-2 Maribor
Wednesday, July 13 at 6pm in Champions League

Sheriff Tiraspol

Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-0 Zrinjski Mostar
Tuesday, July 12 at 6pm in Champions League

We said: Maribor 0-1 Sheriff Tiraspol

Both of the games that these two teams played in the previous round of the competition led to close encounters, and there is no reason that this one should be any different. Neither team has been free-flowing with the goals yet, which will add pressure to the attacking players here, but the quality and European experience of the visitors could see them just edge things. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Maribor	Draw	Sheriff Tiraspol
41.78% ( -0.05)	28.03% ( 0.03)	30.18% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 46.51% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.7% (

-0.08)

59.3% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.3% (

-0.06)

79.7% (

0.06)

Maribor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.02% (

-0.07)

27.98% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.38% (

-0.09)

63.62% (

0.09)

Sheriff Tiraspol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.57% (

-0.03)

35.43% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.81% (

-0.03)

72.19% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Maribor 41.78%

Sheriff Tiraspol 30.18%

Draw 28.03%

Maribor	Draw	Sheriff Tiraspol
1-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 41.78%	1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.03%	0-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 30.18%