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Serie A
Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Juventus logo

AC Milan
0 - 1
Juventus


Reijnders (61')
Thiaw (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Locatelli (63')
Weah (52'), McKennie (67'), Gatti (71'), Locatelli (72'), Allegri (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 AC Milan
Saturday, October 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Juventus

All competitions
Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Torino
Saturday, October 7 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Juventus

 Without a couple of key players due to suspension, Milan may be considered vulnerable going into Sunday's late kickoff. Nevertheless, the Rossoneri still possess an attacking trident that can pierce Juve's watertight defence. One goal could decide a tight contest: in eight of the last 11 Serie A meetings between these teams at San Siro, at least one has failed to score. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawJuventus
48.58% (-0.611 -0.61) 25.33% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 26.09% (0.693 0.69)
Both teams to score 51.82% (0.856 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.8% (0.82 0.82)51.2% (-0.816 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.96% (0.712 0.71)73.04% (-0.708 -0.71)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (0.074000000000012 0.07)21.09% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.08% (0.112 0.11)53.91% (-0.108 -0.11)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67% (1.024 1.02)34.32% (-1.021 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.97% (1.082 1.08)71.03% (-1.077 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 48.57%
    Juventus 26.09%
    Draw 25.32%
AC MilanDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 11.26% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.77% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-1 @ 4.86% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 48.57%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.24% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.135 0.14)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 7.74% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.09%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Juventus

AC Milan
63.9%
Draw
22.9%
Juventus
13.2%
144
Head to Head
Jul 28, 2023 3.30am
Club Friendlies
Juventus
2-2
AC Milan
 Juventus win 0-0 on penalties
Danilo (33'), Rugani (48')
Locatelli (54')
Thiaw (23'), Giroud (39')
Thiaw (15')
> Preview
May 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Juventus
0-1
AC Milan

Cuadrado (56')
Giroud (40')
Messias (34'), Krunic (64')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 9
AC Milan
2-0
Juventus
Tomori (45+1'), Diaz (54')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
AC Milan
0-0
Juventus
Leao (12'), Messias (42')
Locatelli (9'), Kean (89')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Juventus
1-1
AC Milan
Morata (4')
Dybala (65')
Rebic (76')
Tonali (65')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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