Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Omonia had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Omonia win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.