MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 15:49:10| >> :120:45906:45906:
Red Bull Salzburg
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Red Bull Arena
FC Twente logo

Salzburg
2 - 1
FC Twente

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League qualifier between Red Bull Salzburg and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grazer 2-3 Salzburg
Friday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 0-0 FC Twente
Wednesday, July 24 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Red Bull Salzburg 3-1 FC Twente

A talented Salzburg squad eager to make up for last season's failures should take charge of this tie with a win on home turf. Twente will be found out at the back, and they may have a mountain to climb in next week's second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.42%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Red Bull Salzburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Red Bull Salzburg.

Result
Red Bull SalzburgDrawFC Twente
47.77% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 22.16%30.08% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 65.86% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.91% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)34.09% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.03% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)55.97% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.2% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)14.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.93% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)43.07% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)22.7% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.64% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)56.36% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Red Bull Salzburg 47.77%
    FC Twente 30.08%
    Draw 22.16%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 6.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.91% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.06%
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 47.77%
1-1 @ 9.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 6.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 3.36% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 4.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.33% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 30.08%

How you voted: Salzburg vs FC Twente

Red Bull Salzburg
87.6%
Draw
10.6%
FC Twente
1.8%
113
rhs 2.0
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