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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.88%) and 1-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Stoke City |
30.7% | 30.12% | 39.18% |
Both teams to score 41.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.1% | 65.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.48% | 84.52% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.34% | 38.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.6% | 75.4% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.2% | 32.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.64% | 69.36% |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 12.05% 2-1 @ 6.38% 2-0 @ 5.73% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.57% Total : 30.7% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 12.67% 2-2 @ 3.56% Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.11% | 0-1 @ 14.13% 0-2 @ 7.88% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-3 @ 2.93% 1-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.65% Total : 39.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |