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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Cardiff City logo

Blackburn
1 - 2
Cardiff

Ohashi (16')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Salech (4'), Meite (73')
Chambers (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Blackburn
Wednesday, March 12 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-2 Luton
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Cardiff City

Both teams are eager to return to winning ways quickly following winless runs of form, but Blackburn will be regarded as favourites on home soil and we are backing them to pick up their first three points of the Ismael era against a Cardiff outfit who have struggled on the road for some time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 50.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 23.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
50.86% (-1.229 -1.23) 25.45% (0.705 0.71) 23.68% (0.527 0.53)
Both teams to score 49.14% (-1.505 -1.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.42% (-2.277 -2.28)53.58% (2.28 2.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.92% (-1.954 -1.95)75.08% (1.957 1.96)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (-1.41 -1.41)21.08% (1.414 1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.09% (-2.246 -2.25)53.9% (2.25 2.25)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (-0.778 -0.78)37.72% (0.781 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.5% (-0.766 -0.77)74.5% (0.768 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 50.86%
    Cardiff City 23.68%
    Draw 25.45%
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.38% (0.57 0.57)
2-0 @ 9.64% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-0 @ 5% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.88% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.206 -0.21)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.211 -0.21)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 50.86%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.31 0.31)
0-0 @ 7.95% (0.687 0.69)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 7.75% (0.518 0.52)
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.78% (0.177 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 23.68%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Cardiff

Blackburn Rovers
Draw
Cardiff City
Blackburn Rovers
80.6%
Draw
13.9%
Cardiff City
5.6%
36
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Cardiff
1-3
Blackburn
Turnbull (73')
Weimann (15', 54'), Baker (86')
Pears (37'), Buckley (72'), Rankin-Costello (72'), Buckley (90+4')
Feb 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Cardiff
0-0
Blackburn
Goutas (90+3'), Wintle (90+3')
Hyam (45+1'), Tronstad (66'), Buckley (75')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Blackburn
1-0
Cardiff
Rankin-Costello (53')
Dolan (33'), Hyam (87')

Collins (68')
Sep 27, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round
Blackburn
5-2
Cardiff
Garrett (13'), Sigurdsson (36'), Moran (49', 54'), Markanday (69')
Robinson (18'), Etete (45+3')
Jan 1, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 26
Blackburn
1-0
Cardiff
Dack (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Burnley452716266155197
2Leeds UnitedLeeds442713489296094
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4421131058411776
5Bristol City441716115749867
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Middlesbrough441891764541063
8Millwall441712154546-163
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn44188185046462
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom441418125244860
11Swansea CitySwansea44179184852-460
12Watford44168205158-756
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds441511185867-956
14Norwich CityNorwich441314176766153
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth441410205669-1352
17Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
18Preston North EndPreston441019154555-1049
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd441213194462-1849
20Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
21Hull City441212204352-948
22Derby CountyDerby441210224756-946
23Cardiff CityCardiff44916194669-2343
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441013214885-3743


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