Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby2 - 1Blackburn
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Derby
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, March 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, March 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
We said: Derby County 0-2 Blackburn Rovers
Eustace took a risk in leaving Blackburn for Derby earlier this year, and so far it has not paid off. We think his old employers will get the better of his Derby side this weekend, as the hosts continue to struggle in their battle against relegation. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
39.09% ( 0.18) | 28.61% ( 0.02) | 32.29% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 45.57% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.21% ( -0.08) | 60.79% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.16% ( -0.06) | 80.83% ( 0.07) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.76% ( 0.07) | 30.24% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.59% ( 0.08) | 66.41% ( -0.08) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.33% ( -0.18) | 34.66% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.61% ( -0.2) | 71.39% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County 39.08%
Blackburn Rovers 32.29%
Draw 28.61%
| Derby County | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.08% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.61% | 0-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 32.29% |
How you voted: Derby vs Blackburn
Derby County
25.0%Draw
22.9%Blackburn Rovers
52.1%48
