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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Cardiff City logo

Sunderland
2 - 1
Cardiff

Mayenda (2'), Mepham (77')
Hjelde (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Davies (41')
Chambers (63'), Bagan (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-2 Sunderland
Friday, February 28 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-2 Burnley
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Cardiff City

Sunderland enter Saturday's contest with the third-best home record in the division, and we believe that they will make full use of home advantage to get the better of a Cardiff side that have lost two of their previous three away league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 65.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 14.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.

Result
SunderlandDrawCardiff City
65.12% (0.078999999999994 0.08) 20.47% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 14.42% (-0.048 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.46% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.74% (0.024000000000001 0.02)46.26% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.45% (0.023 0.02)68.55% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03)13.42% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.63% (0.063000000000002 0.06)40.37% (-0.061 -0.06)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.97% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)44.03% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.86% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)80.15% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 65.1%
    Cardiff City 14.42%
    Draw 20.47%
SunderlandDrawCardiff City
2-0 @ 11.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.86%
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.98% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 4.01% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 1.61% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35%
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 65.1%
1-1 @ 9.73% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 20.47%
0-1 @ 4.85% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 14.42%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Cardiff

Sunderland
66.7%
Draw
18.8%
Cardiff City
14.6%
48
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
Cardiff
0-2
Sunderland
O'Nien (18'), Clarke (89')
Hume (51'), Alese (81')
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Cardiff
0-2
Sunderland

Wintle (64'), Bowler (64')
Aouchiche (12' pen.), Bellingham (27')
Styles (36')
Sep 24, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Sunderland
0-1
Cardiff

Ba (9'), Burstow (58')
McGuinness (87')
Siopis (55'), Colwill (77')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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