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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Plymouth Argyle

Leeds
2 - 1
Plymouth

James (21'), Piroe (28')
Gruev (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Waine (84')
Randell (33'), Whittaker (61'), Edwards (66'), Gibson (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Leeds
Friday, November 3 at 8pm in Championship

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-0 Plymouth Argyle

 Although Plymouth have generally impressed on their return to the second tier, they are probably playing Leeds at the wrong time. We expect the home side to dominate this fixture and prevail with a win and clean sheet, keeping the pressure on Ipswich above them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 17.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 1-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawPlymouth Argyle
63.36% (-0.76 -0.76) 19.45% (0.432 0.43) 17.18% (0.329 0.33)
Both teams to score 58.59% (-0.91 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.86% (-1.495 -1.5)36.14% (1.496 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.75% (-1.66 -1.66)58.25% (1.66 1.66)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.13% (-0.62400000000001 -0.62)10.87% (0.623 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.01% (-1.399 -1.4)34.99% (1.399 1.4)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.73% (-0.556 -0.56)34.27% (0.557 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (-0.602 -0.6)70.97% (0.601 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 63.36%
    Plymouth Argyle 17.18%
    Draw 19.45%
Leeds UnitedDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.207 0.21)
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.396 0.4)
3-1 @ 7.27% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-0 @ 6.79% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.03% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-0 @ 3.76% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.133 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.79% (-0.132 -0.13)
5-0 @ 1.67% (-0.095 -0.1)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 63.36%
1-1 @ 8.85% (0.295 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.27 0.27)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.45%
1-2 @ 4.74% (0.088 0.09)
0-1 @ 3.99% (0.233 0.23)
0-2 @ 2.14% (0.094 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 17.18%

How you voted: Leeds vs Plymouth

Leeds United
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Plymouth Argyle
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2007 3pm
Leeds
2-1
Plymouth
Michalik (87'), Healy (45')
Gray (73')
Halmosi (36')
Timar (49')
Nov 25, 2006 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Leeds
Djordjic (40')
Aljofree (23'), Seip (33'), Hayles (82'), Ebanks-Blake (83')
Lewis (61'), Blake (3')
Westlake (32'), Douglas (70')
Apr 8, 2006 3pm
Leeds
0-0
Plymouth
Healy (6')
Nalis (31'), Connolly (51'), Larrieu (90')
Jan 2, 2006 3pm
Plymouth
0-3
Leeds
Cresswell (53'), Blake (60')
Dec 28, 2004 3pm
Leeds
2-1
Plymouth
Healy (90'), Gilbert (46' og.)
Gregan (57'), Joachim (88')

Connolly (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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