Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Leeds2 - 1Plymouth
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Leeds
Friday, November 3 at 8pm in Championship
Friday, November 3 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Leeds United 3-0 Plymouth Argyle
Although Plymouth have generally impressed on their return to the second tier, they are probably playing Leeds at the wrong time. We expect the home side to dominate this fixture and prevail with a win and clean sheet, keeping the pressure on Ipswich above them. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 17.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 1-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
63.36% ( -0.76) | 19.45% ( 0.43) | 17.18% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 58.59% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
