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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Stoke logo

Bristol City
2 - 3
Stoke

Bell (5'), Wells (15')
Weimann (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Leris (20'), Haksabanovic (47'), Lowe (89')
Tchamadeu (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Stoke
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Stoke City

Even in defeat to Leicester, Bristol City gave a positive account of themselves, and that should stand them in good stead this weekend. Stoke look like they are making no progress under Neil, leading us to predict a home win, albeit by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
37.58% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 25.53% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 36.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)48.09% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.75% (0.004999999999999 0)70.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94%25.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)59.74%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.45% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)60.27% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 37.58%
    Stoke City 36.88%
    Draw 25.52%
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 0.98%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.58%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.88%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Stoke

Bristol City
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Stoke City
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Stoke
1-2
Bristol City
Powell (36')
Vyner (72'), Mehmeti (85')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Bristol City
1-2
Stoke
Wells (33')
Delap (45+2'), Brown (57')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Stoke
0-1
Bristol City

Brown (45+3'), Fletcher (45+3')
Dasilva (84')
Bentley (45+3'), Williams (45+3'), Atkinson (76'), Martin (80')
Nov 24, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol City
1-0
Stoke
Bakinson (38')
O'Dowda (2'), Scott (68')

Allen (42'), Tymon (79')
Allen (90+6')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Bristol City
0-2
Stoke

Lansbury (14')
Powell (25'), Fletcher (62')
Brown (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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