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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Stoke logo

Bristol City
2 - 3
Stoke

Bell (5'), Wells (15')
Weimann (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Leris (20'), Haksabanovic (47'), Lowe (89')
Tchamadeu (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Stoke
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Stoke City

Even in defeat to Leicester, Bristol City gave a positive account of themselves, and that should stand them in good stead this weekend. Stoke look like they are making no progress under Neil, leading us to predict a home win, albeit by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
37.58% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 25.53% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 36.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)48.09% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.75% (0.004999999999999 0)70.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94%25.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)59.74%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.45% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)60.27% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 37.58%
    Stoke City 36.88%
    Draw 25.52%
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 0.98%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.58%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.26%
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.88%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Stoke

Bristol City
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Stoke City
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Stoke
1-2
Bristol City
Powell (36')
Vyner (72'), Mehmeti (85')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Bristol City
1-2
Stoke
Wells (33')
Delap (45+2'), Brown (57')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Stoke
0-1
Bristol City

Brown (45+3'), Fletcher (45+3')
Dasilva (84')
Bentley (45+3'), Williams (45+3'), Atkinson (76'), Martin (80')
Nov 24, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol City
1-0
Stoke
Bakinson (38')
O'Dowda (2'), Scott (68')

Allen (42'), Tymon (79')
Allen (90+6')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Bristol City
0-2
Stoke

Lansbury (14')
Powell (25'), Fletcher (62')
Brown (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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