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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Stoke City |
31.96% ( -0.19) | 27.13% ( 0.08) | 40.9% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 49.77% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.51% ( -0.37) | 55.49% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.33% ( -0.3) | 76.67% ( 0.3) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.86% ( -0.32) | 32.14% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.38% ( -0.37) | 68.62% ( 0.36) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.33% ( -0.11) | 26.66% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.09% ( -0.15) | 61.91% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.96% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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