MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 13:26:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Stoke logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Stoke

Nisbet (38')
Saville (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Laurent (18'), Wilmot (33'), Hoever (35'), Pearson (51'), McNally (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Millwall
Sunday, August 20 at 12pm in Championship

Stoke City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Watford
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Stoke City

 At some point, the assumption is that this Millwall squad will eventually start to click and make a playoff push. For now, though, we can only back a Stoke side who have settled well, and their extra firepower could prove key in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawStoke City
31.96% (-0.19 -0.19) 27.13% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 40.9% (0.109 0.11)
Both teams to score 49.77% (-0.311 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.51% (-0.367 -0.37)55.49% (0.366 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33% (-0.301 -0.3)76.67% (0.3 0.3)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (-0.322 -0.32)32.14% (0.321 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (-0.367 -0.37)68.62% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.33% (-0.111 -0.11)26.66% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (-0.149 -0.15)61.91% (0.148 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 31.96%
    Stoke City 40.9%
    Draw 27.13%
MillwallDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.052 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.96%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 11.32% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 8.5% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.49% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 40.9%

How you voted: Millwall vs Stoke

Millwall
0.0%
Draw
30.0%
Stoke City
70.0%
10
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Stoke
0-1
Millwall
Flemming (9')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Millwall
2-0
Stoke
Cresswell (12', 65')
Cresswell (39')

Flint (44'), Kilkenny (83')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Stoke
2-0
Millwall
Brown (19'), Saville (70' og.)
Tymon (56'), Brown (65'), Thompson (84')

Ballard (85')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Millwall
2-1
Stoke
Bradshaw (51', 61')
Malone (32'), Smith (84')
Sawyers (20')
Souttar (45+1')
> Preview
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 40
Stoke
1-2
Millwall
Brown (41')
Batth (37')
Wallace (36'), Bennett (71')
Wallace (90+3')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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