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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Stoke City |
31.96% (![]() | 27.13% (![]() | 40.9% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.77% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.51% (![]() | 55.49% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.33% (![]() | 76.67% (![]() |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.86% (![]() | 32.14% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.38% (![]() | 68.62% (![]() |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.33% (![]() | 26.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.09% (![]() | 61.91% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 9.73% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.3% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.52% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.83% ( ![]() Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.96% | 1-1 @ 12.85% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.57% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.82% ( ![]() Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 11.32% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.5% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.49% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |