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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Bristol City

Middlesbrough
1 - 2
Bristol City

Silvera (90+1')
Barlaser (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Knight (16'), James (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Bristol City

Apart from the 6-1 thrashing at the hands of Chelsea in the EFL Cup, Middlesbrough have arguably created the chances to win all of their recent matches, so Boro should be confident of earning three points on Saturday. Bristol City did well to take their top-flight opponents to penalty kicks on Wednesday night, although we believe that the Robins' wait for a win will continue at the Riverside. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City
44.17% (-0.53 -0.53) 26.56% (-0.147 -0.15) 29.28% (0.683 0.68)
Both teams to score 50.34% (0.826 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.79% (0.88 0.88)54.21% (-0.873 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (0.731 0.73)75.62% (-0.72500000000001 -0.73)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (0.129 0.13)24.41% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.17% (0.178 0.18)58.83% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (0.98599999999999 0.99)33.41% (-0.97900000000001 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.96% (1.064 1.06)70.04% (-1.058 -1.06)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 44.17%
    Bristol City 29.28%
    Draw 26.55%
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 44.17%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.282 -0.28)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.123 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 29.28%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Bristol City

Middlesbrough
73.1%
Draw
19.2%
Bristol City
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Bristol City
3-2
Middlesbrough
Gardner-Hickman (37'), Conway (45+1' pen.), Sykes (67')
Gardner-Hickman (42'), Pring (77')
Vyner (50' og.), Crooks (52')
Fry (44'), Greenwood (63')
Apr 10, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 41
Bristol City
2-2
Middlesbrough
Bell (45+1'), Cornick (49')
Ramsey (58'), Crooks (64')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Bristol City
2-1
Middlesbrough
Weimann (7'), Semenyo (68')
Williams (9'), Scott (40')
Crooks (90')
Crooks (17')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Middlesbrough
2-1
Bristol City
Ikpeazu (38'), Crooks (70')
King (60')
Atkinson (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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