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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Bristol City |
44.17% ( -0.53) | 26.56% ( -0.15) | 29.28% ( 0.68) |
Both teams to score 50.34% ( 0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.79% ( 0.88) | 54.21% ( -0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.38% ( 0.73) | 75.62% ( -0.73) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.59% ( 0.13) | 24.41% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.17% ( 0.18) | 58.83% ( -0.17) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.59% ( 0.99) | 33.41% ( -0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.96% ( 1.06) | 70.04% ( -1.06) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 44.17% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.43% Total : 29.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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