Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Apr 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
0 - 1
Cardiff

Bielik (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bowler (65')
Ng (47'), Bowler (58'), Ralls (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Birmingham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 1-3 Hull City
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Cardiff City

Despite the heartbreaking nature of the defeat at Leicester, there were plenty of positives to take from the performance for Birmingham, who simply need to pick up points at St Andrew's over the next week. Cardiff's season is all but over, and we can envisage the visitors producing another limp performance on Wednesday night to continue their poor run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Cardiff City
43.04% ( -0.18)	26.16% ( 0.13)	30.81% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 52.34% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.02% (

-0.51)

51.98% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.28% (

-0.44)

73.72% (

0.44)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.02% (

-0.31)

23.98% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.78% (

-0.44)

58.22% (

0.44)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.85% (

-0.22)

31.15% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.52% (

-0.26)

67.48% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 43.03%

Cardiff City 30.81%

Draw 26.16%

Birmingham City	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.03%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.81%