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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Birmingham
0 - 1
Cardiff


Bielik (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bowler (65')
Ng (47'), Bowler (58'), Ralls (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Birmingham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-3 Hull City
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Cardiff City

Despite the heartbreaking nature of the defeat at Leicester, there were plenty of positives to take from the performance for Birmingham, who simply need to pick up points at St Andrew's over the next week. Cardiff's season is all but over, and we can envisage the visitors producing another limp performance on Wednesday night to continue their poor run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawCardiff City
43.04% (-0.178 -0.18) 26.16% (0.13 0.13) 30.81% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.34% (-0.384 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (-0.506 -0.51)51.98% (0.506 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (-0.441 -0.44)73.72% (0.43899999999999 0.44)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (-0.31 -0.31)23.98% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.78% (-0.444 -0.44)58.22% (0.443 0.44)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)31.15% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.52% (-0.262 -0.26)67.48% (0.259 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 43.03%
    Cardiff City 30.81%
    Draw 26.16%
Birmingham CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.66% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.62% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 43.03%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.47% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.08% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 30.81%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Cardiff

Birmingham City
55.8%
Draw
17.4%
Cardiff City
26.7%
86
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Cardiff
0-1
Birmingham

Meite (55')
Bacuna (45+3')
Sunjic (42'), Dembele (63')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Birmingham
1-3
Cardiff
Hogan (70')
Oakley (35'), Cosgrove (76')
Jutkiewicz (56')
Colwill (3'), Wintle (68'), Etete (90+4')
Rinomhota (23'), Etete (50'), Romeo (90+3')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
0-2
Cardiff
Ng (84'), Robinson (90+5')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Cardiff
1-0
Birmingham
Philogene-Bidace (17')
Ojo (90+1')

Hogan (51'), James (70'), Trusty (90'), Colin (90+6')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cardiff
1-1
Birmingham
Vaulks (82' pen.)
McGuinness (48'), Drameh (57'), Nelson (67'), Vaulks (76')
Bela (22')
Gordon (58'), Etheridge (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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