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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Southampton logo

Cardiff
2 - 1
Southampton

Diedhiou (68'), Ashford (90+6')
Phillips (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aribo (12')
Armstrong (43'), Deen Sulemana (81'), Bednarek (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 3-1 Cardiff
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-0 Preston
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Southampton

With the pressure off Cardiff, we expect the Bluebirds to throw caution to the wind in search of maximum points. Nevertheless, Southampton could still edge this contest, aware that they can ill-afford any dropped points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 22.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 2-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSouthampton
22.46% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 22.67% (0.0019999999999989 0) 54.87% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.4% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02)43.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)65.64% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (0.029000000000011 0.03)33.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (0.033999999999999 0.03)69.71% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)15.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.3%44.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 22.46%
    Southampton 54.87%
    Draw 22.66%
Cardiff CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 5.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 5.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 3.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.16% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 22.46%
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.91% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.36% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 2.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.05%
0-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 54.87%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Southampton

Cardiff City
20.0%
Draw
10.0%
Southampton
70.0%
50
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Southampton
2-0
Cardiff
Armstrong (11', 15')
Downes (25')

Colwill (72')
Jul 27, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Cardiff
0-4
Southampton
Walcott (37'), Djenepo (66'), Adams (73', 84')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Southampton
1-2
Cardiff
Stephens (91')
Ward-Prowse (45'), Redmond (89'), Romeu (90')
Bamba (69'), Zohore (93')
Gunnarsson (61'), Bamba (70'), Zohore (90')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Cardiff
1-0
Southampton
Paterson (74')
Morrison (19'), Bennett (66')

Valery (28'), Romeu (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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