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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Southampton logo

Cardiff
2 - 1
Southampton

Diedhiou (68'), Ashford (90+6')
Phillips (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aribo (12')
Armstrong (43'), Deen Sulemana (81'), Bednarek (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 3-1 Cardiff
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-0 Preston
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Southampton

With the pressure off Cardiff, we expect the Bluebirds to throw caution to the wind in search of maximum points. Nevertheless, Southampton could still edge this contest, aware that they can ill-afford any dropped points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 22.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 2-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSouthampton
22.46% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 22.67% (0.0019999999999989 0) 54.87% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.4% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02)43.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)65.64% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (0.029000000000011 0.03)33.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (0.033999999999999 0.03)69.71% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)15.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.3%44.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 22.46%
    Southampton 54.87%
    Draw 22.66%
Cardiff CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 5.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 5.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 3.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.16% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 22.46%
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.91% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.36% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 2.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.05%
0-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 54.87%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Southampton

Cardiff City
20.0%
Draw
10.0%
Southampton
70.0%
50
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Southampton
2-0
Cardiff
Armstrong (11', 15')
Downes (25')

Colwill (72')
Jul 27, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Cardiff
0-4
Southampton
Walcott (37'), Djenepo (66'), Adams (73', 84')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Southampton
1-2
Cardiff
Stephens (91')
Ward-Prowse (45'), Redmond (89'), Romeu (90')
Bamba (69'), Zohore (93')
Gunnarsson (61'), Bamba (70'), Zohore (90')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Cardiff
1-0
Southampton
Paterson (74')
Morrison (19'), Bennett (66')

Valery (28'), Romeu (74')
rhs 2.0
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Bills
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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