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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Coventry City

Burnley
1 - 0
Coventry

Beyer (82')
Cork (11'), Taylor (59'), Tella (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Norton-Cuffy (50'), Dabo (79'), Wilson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burnley 2-0 Coventry City

Burnley edged past Coventry the last time that they locked horns earlier this season and another closely-fought contest is to be expected on Saturday. However, the Clarets will be regarded as favourites to come out on top again this weekend, with a routine win on the cards for Kompany's side at Turf Moor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 65.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Coventry City had a probability of 14.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Coventry City win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawCoventry City
65.7% (0.12 0.12) 20.11% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04) 14.18% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 49% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.78% (0.010999999999996 0.01)45.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.43% (0.009999999999998 0.01)67.56% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.07% (0.038999999999987 0.04)12.93% (-0.042 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.62% (0.079999999999998 0.08)39.37% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.27% (-0.111 -0.11)43.72% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.1% (-0.093 -0.09)79.89% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 65.69%
    Coventry City 14.19%
    Draw 20.11%
BurnleyDrawCoventry City
2-0 @ 11.82% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.07% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.13% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.41% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.69% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 65.69%
1-1 @ 9.57% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 20.11%
0-1 @ 4.68% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 14.19%

How you voted: Burnley vs Coventry

Burnley
86.7%
Draw
8.9%
Coventry City
4.4%
45
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Apr 14, 2012 3pm
Oct 22, 2011 3pm
Coventry
1-2
Burnley
McDonald (59')
Bell (58'), Murphy (87'), Wood (90')
Bigirimana (81')
Wallace (73')
Rodriguez (32'), Bartley (53'), Wallace (67'), Edgar (79')
Mar 15, 2011 3pm
Burnley
2-2
Coventry
Rodriguez (18', 79')
Carlisle (81'), Elliott (82')
Jutkiewicz (61'), McSheffrey (75')
O'Halloran (36'), Baker (89')
Nov 20, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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