FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth2 - 4Burnley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Bournemouth
Tuesday, January 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Tuesday, January 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Burnley
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Bournemouth 1-2 Burnley
This has all the makings of being a tight match, regardless of the teams that are selected by the two managers. However, with Bournemouth low on confidence, we expect the visitors to edge this fixture by the odd goal in three, potentially via a late strike. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Burnley |
32.32% ( -0) | 25.94% ( 0) | 41.74% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.65% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
