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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Preston North End |
53.8% ( 0.04) | 23.91% ( 0.01) | 22.29% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 52.14% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.19% ( -0.11) | 48.8% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.09% ( -0.1) | 70.9% ( 0.1) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.94% ( -0.03) | 18.06% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.03% ( -0.04) | 48.96% ( 0.04) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.62% ( -0.12) | 36.37% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.84% ( -0.12) | 73.15% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.79% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 22.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
3 | Burnley | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 18 |
4 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 17 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
6 | Watford | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 |
10 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Hull City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
14 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Bristol City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
18 | Millwall | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
19 | Preston North EndPreston | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 9 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
22 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
23 | Portsmouth | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 5 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 5 |
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