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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Preston North End |
41.55% ( 0.09) | 27.44% ( -0.19) | 31.01% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 48.54% ( 0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.1% ( 0.71) | 56.89% ( -0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.19% ( 0.57) | 77.81% ( -0.57) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.03% ( 0.39) | 26.97% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.68% ( 0.5) | 62.31% ( -0.5) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.46% ( 0.44) | 33.54% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.82% ( 0.48) | 70.18% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 41.55% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
17 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
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